Submitted by daniel on Mon, 06/10/2025 - 17:00 Description Recent polling data suggests that if voters took to the ballot tomorrow, Reform UK could emerge as the largest party in the House of Commons, making Nigel Farage Prime Minister. Share your view in the Your Local Guardian poll below. In south London, Labour currently holds the majority of seats, including Croydon East, Croydon West, Streatham and Croydon North, Mitcham and Morden, Battersea, Putney, and Tooting. The Conservatives represent Croydon South, while the Liberal Democrats represent Carshalton and Wallington, Richmond Park, and Twickenham. According to the latest YouGov MRP model, Reform UK is projected to secure 311 seats, which is just 15 short of an outright majority. This marks a huge gain from their previous count of 271 seats and shows a shift in voter allegiance, particularly from traditional Labour strongholds. In contrast, Labour's seat count is projected to plummet to 144, a dramatic decline from their 2024 performance. The Conservatives are also facing challenges, with their seat count expected to fall to 45. This shift reflects broader national trends, with Reform UK leading in national polls, surpassing both Labour and the Conservatives. The next UK general election must be held by 15 August 2029 at the latest. However, it could take place earlier if the Prime Minister requests an early election with the backing of two-thirds of MPs. An early election could also happen if the government loses a vote of no confidence in the House of Commons and no alternative government can be formed within 14 days. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is very unpopular right now, with only 13 per cent of voters saying they approve of his leadership, according to a YouGov poll. This is the lowest rating for a UK prime minister over a long period since the 1970s. Meanwhile, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch is also unpopular, with only 19 per cent of voters saying they approve of her leadership. Reform UK leader Nigel Farage is slightly more popular, with 30 per cent of voters giving him a positive rating. Web Link Which party would you vote for if an election were held tomorrow? - This Is Loc… This Is Local London